Fantasy Picks ~ Richmond 2
Race Recap and Results
“South Point 400”
Heat and tires took its toll on the Traveling Circus this week and as a result played havoc with our pickers. It was either the penthouse or outhouse for our group as we had Frank leading a group of four to top 10 finishes and four who finished 38th or worse. Only Berra stayed out of either with a 21st place finish.
This separation allowed Frank to open up his lead as Berra passed PattyKay for second. Vivian is a solid fourth. J. L. was caught up in the tire issue and as a result was overtaken by Vicq and Mitch.
Let’s take a look at the points scoreboard for the "South Point 400” results-
"Federated Auto Parts 400"
Race 28 of the season and Race 2 of Round One of the Ten Race Chase/Playoff/Whatever to determine the 2018 MENCS Champion comes to you from the three-quarter mile oval at Richmond.
That’s easy for you to say.
The night race used to be one of the hot tickets on the circuit until it became the deciding race of the “Regular” season and then things changed. Everyone but the last few trying to squeak into the Chase became polite riders and this race lost a bit of its luster.
Hopefully, the move to the middle of the first Round will produce more racers and a race more like what we’ve seen in the past.
Looking at the performance of the “Big Three” here finds Martin Truex Jr. having never visited Victory Lane. Kevin Harvick has two wins... but none since switching to Ford. Kyle Busch has an amazing five wins, including this year’s spring race... but none in the fall. It will be interesting to see if they can stay on top.
Chasers with wins who have wins here include Kurt Busch (2), Clint Bowyer (1) and 3-streaker Brad K (1).
Winless Chasers who have seen Victory Lane here are Denny Hamlin (3), Jimmie Johnson (3) and defending race champ, Kyle Larson (1). Non-Chasers with wins here include Matt Kenseth (2) and Ryan Newman.
Jamie McMurray has a ton of top 10’s here and Aric Almirola has shown strength here as well, so there is a lot to choose from this week.
Let’s see what our MENCS prognosticators have come up with for this week’s “Federated Auto Parts 400” from Richmond.
I got a bit over-confident last week and was slapped down for it. According to Rodney Childers, all tire failures at Las Vegas were from the same "shift-code." That means that it was a problem with Goodyear, not Kevin. He was spot on with the "piece of crap tires" comment.
Still, finishing 39th broke his momentum. I don't "think" Brad can go 4 in a row, but it's obvious that Penske has found some speed. Looking back on past races at Richmond, it makes sense to me to stay with that team, so I will be riding with Joey Logano on Saturday night. C'mon Joey! Don't let Mama down!
My home track! Really want to do well. Pick a sure winner. OK, we'll go with David Pearson in the #6. I wish. The Silver Fox knew his way around this place, but if I can't pick a guy who won't be driving (not to mention his Dodge), I guess I'll update. Kyle Bush ought to win, unless Logano does, but I've got to stick with my hometown boy and say Denny Hamlin will bounce back from Vegas and run the table at Richmond.
Denny Hamlin is normally a good choice for Richmond, and if not him, then Kyle Busch would be a logical pick for the win. But... this old gal has a hard time choosing either one of them - just a personal thing - although I know deep down that sometimes not choosing one of them can hurt me in the standings here. That being said, I think I will just pick #78, Martin Truex, Jr to go to Victory Lane.
J. L. Steele
After watching the Big 3 become the Bigger 4 thanks to Keselowski's streak, Richmond should be an incredible race. Any of those drivers are great picks, as is Kyle Larson. It's still hard to believe he hasn't snagged a win yet this season. Based on his past success there, Denny Hamlin is another one to consider. (I'd rather not though, so I won’t.)
I went with Kevin Harvick in Vegas. A strong pick but he fell victim to a tire issue. That team has been too good this season for bad fortune to strike in back to back races. That's why I'm sticking with the 4 car for Richmond.
Last week was somewhat crazy with a lot wrecks. For once, Denny H was right on the money when he said something like "driver trying to get more than the cars would give them" and that's what you get with this "Play off" and these Cars. It seems that the only way to pass is to over-drive your car in order to side-draft or get the other car loose! But we all know that!
So this week then, will we see the return of the big trio or will Brad’s streak continue? And what about Kevin Harvick who was steaming mad last week and that's not a good sign for his competitors!! So what to do? I have had #18 Kyle Busch on my mind ever since Sunday and with nothing better I have to go with him!!
My contrarian strategy this year worked out about as well as Mikey's old #30 car did against the Bristol wall, so,,, for the final ten, I am picking Kyle Busch all the way, hopin' that either I won't see him making the big speech at Vegas, or that I'll claw my way out of the RFF crawl space. And I get to eat some M&Ms during the race without feelin' guilty...
My pick, every week, will be Bubba Wallace. My reasoning is my hope is that Richard Petty will have a successful year with his team and I'm supporting that hope every way I can.
Martin Truex Jr. did a fine job for me last week and if I was smart I’d stick with the #78. But when it comes to Fantasy Racing, smart has never been one of my strengths. I’m going to try an SHR this weekend but it’s not Happy or Itchy Elbow or Busch the Elder. Ryan Blaney will be in Victory Lane when the dust settles.
You’ve seen our picks-now make yours below!