Fantasy Picks ~ Daytona 2
Race Recap and Results
Wow what a finish! Isn’t it nice to talk racing for a week?
Kyle Larson’s last lap “Slide Job! Slide Job!” was trumped (poker term not politics) by Kyle Busch’s “Dump and Run” giving Berra the win this week. Few drivers could have held on after the heavy hit Kyle Larson sustained (even the mighty KyBu needed the SAFER Barrier to keep him pointed in the right direction) but he dirt tracked it through the turn for second. Some say it was the best race finish so far this season. Was pretty exciting.
Fantasy wise the group landed all nine competitors in the top 25, with seven finishing in the top 10, with Berra, Frank, J. L. and PattyKay picking P1-4.
This is the first race in a while where there were no position changes in our standings. Things are still tight and depending on how wild that race gets, Daytona could do a lot shaking things up. Let’s take a look at the full rundown of the “Overton’s 400" results-
“Coke Zero Sugar 400”
The return to Daytona. The shorter of the two races and run at night, which adds two more dimensions to picking on a restrictor plate track. Of course Austin Dillon won here in February, but again a longer race with different conditions. Ricky Stenhouse Jr. is the defending champion of this race and with him below the cutoff line for the Chase, a “Win and you’re in” here may be his best shot. Other winners at this race include two of the Big Three-Kyle and Kevin. Brad, Aric and Jimmie have also won this race. Kevin is the only one in the group with multiple wins. Will this week’s winner of the mid-season crap shoot come from this group of proven winners or from near misses like Joey Logano or Clint Bowyer? Or will we see a first time winner here this time? Our group has been studying the past results, Larry Mac’s cautions in the final 10 laps stats, tarot cards, tea leaves, rolling dice, crystal balls, astrological charts and alignments and even the rings on caterpillars to gain an advantage this week. Will they pick a Daytona winner? If not can they tell us if we’ll have an early winter? Let’s see what they think...
Another eliminator track lies straight ahead! Daytona - killer of fantasy teams and spoiler of dreams. Still, somebody's going to win - the guy that survives perhaps several editions of "The Big One." Numbers don't tell all here, but finishing does. I looked at a lot of finishes, in the 400, not the 500. Distance is different as is weather and track temperature. I knew that when this guy had a car, that he was good here. Didn't realize how good until I removed those 500 finishes. On Saturday night, I'll be riding in the #14 Ford with Clint Bowyer. I want to see Cash in Victory Lane again! LOVE that kid!
How can I truly test my theory that anybody can win one of these restrictor plate pig circuses when neither Gray Gaulding nor Timmy Hill is entered? Plan B: Try the "He's due" theory. That leads us to Keselowski (wrecks three straight Daytona races since his win here two years ago) or Harvick (wrecks three of the last four and - if memory serves me correctly - wreck damage the fourth race). Tie breaker: On the way home today, I passed an Ollie's #4 hauler. No idea why it would have been eastbound out of Gettysburg on U.S. 30, but I'll take it as an omen. Harvick will win.
Kevin Harvick. No remarks, just a pick.
J. L. Steele
One of the most common phrases used about picking the winner at a restrictor plate race is that, "it's a gamble." In gambling, there are no sure things, and the same holds true at Daytona. About the closest some would come to picking a sure thing would be to bet on the trio of Harvick, Truex and Kyle Busch. There are safe bets, in this case some guys who have recently won at plate tracks, guys like Stenhouse, Austin Dillon and Kurt Busch. Then there are long shots, those who on the surface don't stand a chance, have never won before.
I'm going with one of those alleged long shots but after watching him in this season's Daytona 500, his odds might not be too bad. Matt DiBenedetto was running fourth in the closing laps back in February. He appeared poised to move even higher before Kurt Busch caused a multi-car crash that took out the 32.
Matt has shown he can drive at plate tracks and the GoFas team certainly knows how to prepare a car for this type of race. Spotters are crucial at Daytona and they have one of the best in David Pepper. I have my money on Matt DiBenedetto to pick up his first career NASCAR win this Saturday night.
After watching my pic for Sonoma miss a shift and blow his chances AND his motor, this week I am going to go out on a limb here and say it's time for the sireen to ring in Dawsonville, Chase Elliott for the win!
Daytona this week and it is with mixed feelings I go in to the “Saturday Night Show", although it would be Sunday Morning here! The one good thing with Plate-racing is sometimes once in a while an underdog team can win or at least get a decent finish out of it!! So this time I'll be rooting for, IMHO, one of most likable guys Timothy Peters in the #92!! But does he have enough car and most of all Luck to win? So the big question for me is who gets the win #2 or #41 two good teams without a win this year! I go with #41 Kurt Busch!
Still stickin' with 2018 non-winners. Let's go with Brad K.
My pick, every week, will be Bubba Wallace. My reasoning is my hope is that Richard Petty will have a successful year with his team and I'm supporting that hope every way I can.
I’ll try Joey one more week.
You’ve seen our picks-now make yours below!